Political Disillusionment
BERKELEY – There’s an election coming up. It seems to be of great importance nationally, but in California it seems awfully hard to get excited about. This is a very solidly Democratic region in a somewhat solidly Democratic state, so nothing is particularly contested. The Democrats are going to win just about everything except Governor, arguably the most important state office. In that race, they’ve responded to the Republican incumbent’s waning popularity by barely bothering to put up a candidate. The Democrats, the good guys, are going to win almost everything again. Why is this disappointing? It’s because the candidates all seem so uninspired.
I wonder if this can be blamed on term limits. The promise of the proponents of term limits was that it would get rid of the entrenched career politicians (those with experience), and gives others a chance to serve. What it seems to do in California is cause the career politicians to be shuffled – moved from obscure offices where they have experience to whatever office happens to be available. Thus we have the Insurance Commissioner becoming Lieutenant Governor, and the Lieutenant Governor becoming Insurance Commissioner. We have the Attorney General becoming the Treasurer. And, continuing the shuffle, the Treasurer, Phil Angelides, has become the candidate for Governor.
The Democratic establishment fought hard in the Gubernatorial Primary, when another candidate dared to try to disrupt the natural order of things by running against Angeledes. Indeed, the establishment seemed more excited about their chosen candidate than they had about anybody since former Governor Gray Davis, who they refused to put up a replacement candidate for long after his complete failure had become apparent, paving the way for Schwarzenegger’s election the first time. But it was an entirely negative, visionless, campaign (on both sides). Having won the primary, and having declared themselves in control of their party’s nomination process, the campaigning stopped, and Angelides disappeared for months. Some press reports have suggested this was a result of having spent all his money on the primary and not having anything less, rather than of not having anything to say. Either way, whether he has nothing to say, or can’t figure out how to budget for a campaign, it’s not encouraging.
So, who to vote for Governor? I’ve never voted for a Republican in my life. I may well vote Democratic on principle, but I can’t say I’d be happy if the Democratic candidate won. Schwarzenegger has seemed somewhat destructive when not running for reelection. He’s done some great things in the last few months, but I’m skeptical about whether it will continue. Still, he’s going to win, and given the circumstances it may be for the best.
There are also a bunch of ballot proposals, some of which are scary, and some of which seem like good ideas that it would be better to have go through the legislative process. Al Gore gave an impassioned speech in Berkeley on behalf of one of them on Monday, and drew a huge crowd. That was neat to watch. Too bad we can't find somebody of his caliber willing to be Governor.
In other news, there’s a neat website we were playing with a couple of days ago (yet another Google product). Gapminder lets you graph a whole bunch of demographic factors for a large number of countries, looking at how they relate and change over time. One stat that I found kind of interesting from a telecom development perspective is that while income level in a country has a huge impact on phones or Internet users per capita, percentage of the population that’s urban appears have had less and less of an impact over time. For the current data, that correlation is visible at all only for the poorest countries. Of course, this all assumes an accurate source of data, and it doesn’t say where it’s getting its data from.
